EBANO: A novel Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers for the prediction of significant wave height

Abstract

In this study, we present EBANO (Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers), which is a novel ensemble approach of ordinal classifiers that includes four soft labelling approaches along with an ordinal logistic regression model. These models are integrated within the ensemble using a new aggregation methodology that automatically weights each individual classifier using a randomised search algorithm. In addition, the proposed EBANO methodology is applied to tackle short-term prediction of Significant Wave Height (SWH). Thus, we employ EBANO using a diverse set of eight datasets derived from reanalysis data and buoy-recorded SWH measurements. To approach the problem from an ordinal classification perspective, the SWH values are discretised into five ordered classes by applying hierarchical clustering. EBANO is compared with each of the individual classifiers integrated in the proposed ensemble along with a different ensemble technique termed HESCA. Both the average results and the ranks obtained show the superiority of EBANO over the compared methodologies, being more pronounced in the metrics that account for the imbalance present in the datasets considered. Finally, a statistical analysis is performed, confirming the statistical significance of the observed differences in all comparisons. This analysis underscores the effectiveness of EBANO in addressing the problem of SWH prediction, showcasing its excellence.

@article{vargas2024ebano:,
    author = {Víctor Manuel Vargas and Antonio Manuel Gómez-Orellana and Pedro Antonio Gutiérrez and César Hervás-Martínez and David Guijo-Rubio},
    title = {EBANO: A novel Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers for the prediction of significant wave height},
    journal = {Knowledge-Based Systems},
    year = {2024},
    volume = {300},
    number = {0},
    pages = {1--14},
    doi = {10.1016/j.knosys.2024.112223}
}

Vargas, V., Gómez-Orellana, A., Gutiérrez, P., Hervás-Martínez, C., Guijo-Rubio, D. (2024). EBANO: A novel Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers for the prediction of significant wave height. Knowledge-Based Systems, 300(0), 1-14.

V.M. Vargas, A.M. Gómez-Orellana (CA), P.A. Gutiérrez, C. Hervás-Martínez, D. Guijo-Rubio, (1/5) "EBANO: A novel Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers for the prediction of significant wave height", Knowledge-Based Systems, Vol. 300(0), pp. 1-14, 2024. (Q1, IF: 7.2)

TY  - JOUR
T1  - EBANO: A novel Ensemble BAsed on uNimodal Ordinal classifiers for the prediction of significant wave height
AU  - Vargas, Víctor Manuel
AU  - Gómez-Orellana, Antonio Manuel
AU  - Gutiérrez, Pedro Antonio
AU  - Hervás-Martínez, César
AU  - Guijo-Rubio, David
JO  - Knowledge-Based Systems
VL  - 300
IS  - 0
SP  - 1
EP  - 14
PY  - 2024
DO  - 10.1016/j.knosys.2024.112223
ER  -